Thursday, September 3, 2009

2009 Football Season - Only $695

Sports Monitor's Executive Football Selections finished the month of August at 11 wins and 5 losses.

Tonight - College football takes center stage and the NFL preseason will fizzle out as very few starters will take to the field as the coaches make the final decisions on who will make the team.

Join us and receive all the services that Sports Monitor releases as well as Sports Monitor's own Executive Selections. The 2009 Membership fee is still only $695 which includes free Private Play Service through September. Just click on the "BUY NOW" button to the right and get started today.

The membership fee of $695 has been rolled back from the former fee of $1095. Join today and you'll receive Greg Allen's free Private Play Service - the same program which has cost $895 per month for the last decade.

Private Plays On Fire.
For those of you who've never seen one of Greg's well-researched Private Plays, here's what Greg has released the last six days. These are the exact plays as they were written and released to current members.

Wednesday September 2nd
My Private Play for Wednesday is the Chicago Cubs.

HOUSTON (Paulino)
AT
CHICAGO -210 (Lilly)
2:20 pm Eastern

I do not like giving out plays at this price but half the games on the schedule today are at least 2-1 --- and for good reasons. Today, I'm betting against another minor league callup. Houston is going to give Felipe Paulino another chance at a start. Paulino will make his first start since July 3rd, when he gave up nine hits and nine runs (eight earned) in two innings in a 13-0 loss to the Giants. He's been relegated to bullpen duty since, mostly in mop-up roles. It's hard to imagine that this guy will even make the team next season. Paulino has a great fastball but it does not fool anyone - in fact, opponents have hit .371 off Paulino on the road this season. Over his two year career, opponents have hit .322 off Paulino. Chicago sends Ted Lilly to the hill and he's hoping for a bit of support from his team. Lilly has notched three consecutive solid starts since his return from the disabled list on August 17th. He is 0-1 but has posted a 1.86 ERA in that stretch - as he's been backed by one total run of support. Lilly has a quality start in all 10 of his outings at Wrigley Field and a 1.92 ERA there - holding opponents to a .220 batting average. Ted Lilly has a 3.57 ERA in winning all three starts versus the Astros this season, and is 6-0 with a 2.20 ERA in seven starts against them dating back to 2007. The Astros are 6-18 on the road since July 18th.

Did you know? The Cubs are 23-6 in Lilly's last 29 home starts.

Result: WIN Chicago 2 Houston 0
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Tuesday September 1st
My Private Play for Tuesday is the Boston Red Sox.

BOSTON -160 (Lester)
OVER
TAMPA BAY (Sonnanstine)
7:05 pm Eastern

Boston is going to make make that Wild Card slot as their team is the strongest it's been all season. Boston has won 10 of their last 13 overall. Boston's team batting average is .305 over their last 10 games and they've hit .315 off right-handers. The Rays will get their first experience of life without Scott Kazmir tonight - this was his spot in the rotation. Tampa Bay will be starting one of their September callups tonight - Andy Sonnanstine who was sent down in June after compiling a 6.61 ERA in 15 starts. Sonnanstine's biggest problem was with right-handed hitters, allowing a .370 average. Triple-A opponents batted .323 off Sonnanstine the last three months. This appears to be a quick fix to fill a spot in the rotation and Sonnanstine was rested and able to step in here. It's my guess that this will be his last start of the season - he's just not ready for prime time. Boston's Jon Lester has posted a quality start in each of his past five outings - and 15 of his last 16 -- allowing three earned runs or fewer in 15 of his previous 16 appearances dating back to May 31. I'm looking for the Red Sox to reverse their recent slump at Tropicana Field and against the Rays. The Rays have fallen five game back of the Red Sox in the Wild card chase and the Red Sox look to silent the cowbells. It's the Red Sox over the Rays tonight.

Did you know? The Red Sox are 41-14 in their last 55 games following an off day.

Result: WIN Boston 8 Tampa Bay 4
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Monday, August 31st
My Private Play for Monday August 31st is the New York Yankees.

NEW YORK YANKEES -170 (Pettitte)
AT
BALTIMORE (Guthrie)
7:05 pm Eastern

The Baltimore Orioles have lost their last eight Monday games and the news get worse. The Yankees are in town. The Yankees have taken 16 of the last 19 against the Orioles. New York has won seven in a row against Baltimore this year while outscoring the Orioles by nearly three runs per game. New York starter Andy Pettitte is undefeated in six starts since July 30, going 3-0 with a 2.60 ERA (38.0 innings, 11 earned runs) over that span. Pettitte is 25-6 lifetime versus the Orioles. The Yankees are on fire and are coming in off a three game sweep of the White Sox - New York outscored Chicago 23-5 in the series. Baltimore is just 14-29 since the All-Star break while New York has been heating up all summer. I'm on the Bombers tonight.

Did you know? The Yankees have won 44 of their last 60 games.

Result: WIN New York 5 Baltimore 1
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Sunday August 30th
My NFL Private Play is Chicago/Denver over 38 points.

CHICAGO 38
AT
DENVER -2.5
8 pm Eastern

This is one of those events that on any other day would be just another NFL preseason game. Yes, it's just another preseason game, but this one just so happens to be nationally televised by a major network - in a Sunday prime time slot. So basically, nobody wants to look stupid - and everyone wants to look good. Especially the starting quarterbacks and the head coaches. Kyle Orton and Jay Cutler will be the lead story and they'll know it. The Denver crowd won't miss a beat. Jay Cutler returns to Invesco Field to a crowd that will boo his every move. Kyle Orton has reportedly struggled to learn Chicago's offense (3 interceptions in week one). Orton actually went 18 for 26 last week against Seattle and is working diligently to understand the playbook. He'll be throwing more tonight. Both starting QB's should still be in this game in the third quarter. Throw in the wide receiver controversy at Denver and I look forward to a couple offenses who try to make things happen tonight. I noticed a lot of scoring in the NFL this week - for week number three - a week that's known for stating QB's to get their last real game situation workout in. I'm betting that the Bears and Broncos go over the total tonight on NBC-TV.

Result: WIN Chicago 27 Denver 17
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Saturday August 29th
My Private Play for Saturday is the San Francisco Giants.

COLORADO (Marquis)
AT
SAN FRANCISCO +105 (Zito)
9:05 pm Eastern

I was reading a news report out of San Francisco about last night's game. It said, "It was unseasonably warm for a summer night in the Bay Area: 75 degrees at first pitch." I was at a Triple-A game last night here in Las Vegas and it was 105 degrees at first pitch. Go figure. Tonight, I'm betting that San Francisco closes the gap on the Colorado Rockies. The Giants have been very reliable at AT&T Park this season and have won 39 of their last 58 home games. Left-hander Barry Zito faced these Rockies last Monday - giving up three hits, no earned runs and went away without a decision. If you know more about that game, he actually did not deserve a decision - either way. Just my opinion. Barry Zito has faced the Rockies twice this season, pitched well both times and has held them to a .119 batting average. Colorado has been weak against left-handers on the road all season while posting a .210 batting average. Barry Zito is in the midst of his hottest streak since signing as a free agent with the team in 2007 - his ERA is 2.08 since the All-Star break. This is the time of the season that Zito typically heats up - Going into this season, Zito was 70-36 after the All-Star break with a 3.47 ERA. Before the break, his numbers were 53-57 with a 4.14 ERA. Zito's 2-2 with a 2.03 ERA during his career against the Rockies. This year his ERA against the Rockies is 0.00 in two starts, both no-decisions. The Giants again tonight.

Result: WIN San Francisco 5 Colorado 3
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Friday August 28th
My Private Play today is the San Francisco Giants.

COLORADO (Jiminez)
AT
SAN FRANCISCO -130 (Lincicum)
10:15 pm Eastern

They call San Francisco pitcher Tim Lincicum "The Freak". Lincicum is 7-1 at AT&T Park this season, owns a 1.98 ERA and has struck out 113 batters in 95 innings pitched. These teams are in a dog fight for the NL playoffs - I'll be careful to avoid the conversation about first place versus wild card here. The Giants are a very strong home team and have gone 41-21 at AT&T this season. This is a very good pitching matchup as Colorado has their ace on the hill today as well - I'll take the Giants on the strength of their team at home this season.

Did you know? The Rockies are 10-23 in Jimenez's last 33 road starts.

Result: WIN San Francisco 2 Colorado 0